عنوان مقاله [English]
Technological change is one of the fundamental changes that has overshadowed the impact of organizations in the last decade. Today, in response to environmental changes, organizations seek to find and implement solutions that, despite their positive results, will carry risks, especially in uncertain and uncertain environments. On the other hand, with the growth of management and planning theories and the expansion of their application, the need to use risk management tools, especially in organizations such as customs, which is responsible for collecting import and export duties and taxes, as well as import, transit and export of goods is strongly felt. Therefore, trying to apply risk management techniques to reduce risk in customs is very important. The purpose of this study is to develop a model of risk assessment management model using data mining algorithms. This research is based on descriptive and analytical methods based on data mining algorithms and also the present research is of method and nature type, qualitative-quantitative type. The statistical population of this research includes experts and policy makers, managers and senior customs consultants of Khuzestan province. In the qualitative method section, 14 expert managers and senior consultants were considered, 14 expert colleagues of the organization, 10 university professors for the initial extraction of the model in the quantitative part, all managers and senior customs consultants of Khuzestan province as the statistical population of the research. Were taken. In both qualitative and quantitative phases, sampling was done judiciously and purposefully. In this study, the decision tree algorithm was used to build a risk management model and analysis of customs data, which is a decision tree algorithm and analysis of customs data from Rapid miner software version 9.1. The results showed that among the risk factors identified in the transit procedure, the currency value is the highest and the type of transit is the least important. Among the risk factors identified in the insurance import procedure is the highest importance and the net weight is the least important, and among the risk factors identified in the net weight export procedure is the highest importance and the currency value is the least important.