جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی منطقه‌ای

جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی منطقه‌ای

پیامدهای تهاجم روسیه به اوکراین بر نظام بین‌الملل در افق ۲۰۳۰ با تاکید بر منافع ملی ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله های برگرفته از رساله و پایان نامه

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین الملل، گروه علوم سیاسی و روابط بین الملل، واحد شاهرود، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شاهرود، ایران.
2 استادیار، گروه علوم سیاسی و روابط بین الملل، واحد شاهرود، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شاهرود، ایران.
3 استادیار، گروه معارف اسلامی، واحد شاهرود، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شاهرود، ایران.
10.22034/jgeoq.2024.293190.3177
چکیده
اوکراین، عمق استراتژیک روسیه در اروپای شرقی است. بحران اوکراین نتیجه این نگرش روسیه به اوکراین است. جنگ روسیه و اوکراین، جنگ بین اعضای قدرتمند نظام بین‌الملل و منازعه قدرت بین روسیه، آمریکا، اتحادیه اروپا، ناتو است و قطب بندی‌ جدیدی در نظام بین الملل به را نمایش گذاشته است. ایران به عنوان قدرت منطقه‌ای و هم پیمان استراتژیک روسیه، از جنگ بین غرب و روسیه، تاثیر پذیرفته است. این مقاله با هدف روشن ساختن بعد پنهان و معماگونه اثر گذاری این بحران در پی پاسخ به این پرسش است که؛ تهاجم روسیه به اوکراین چه پیامدهایی بر نظام بین‌الملل در افق 2030 می‌گذارد؟ همچنین چه پیامدهایی بر منافع ملی جمهوری اسلامی ایران دارد؟ پژوهش حاضر به روش توصیفی تحلیلی و با بهره گیری از منابع اسنادی و کتابخانه‌ای انجام شده است. یافته‌های پژوهش نشان می‌دهد که؛ جنگ روسیه و اوکراین بر ابعاد سیاسی، اقتصادی، نظامی نظام بین‌الملل اثر گذاشته است. همچنین بر منافع سیاسی و اقتصادی ایران نیز به عنوان هم پیمان روسیه در منطقه اثر گذاشته است و سبب تغییر در سیاست خارجی ایران و گردش به سوی شرق، توقف در مذاکرات هسته‌ای، شکل گیری همکاری اقتصادی بین روسیه و ایران و نیز سبب نگرانی ایران از حضور ناتو در قفقاز، تاثیر گذاری بر روابط اسرائیل ـ روسیه و منافع ایران در سوریه و نیز بر امنیت انرژی شده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

The consequences of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on the international system in the horizon of 2030 with an emphasis on Iran's national interests

نویسندگان English

Ali Elahi 1
Ehsan Razani 2
Abolghasem Piadeh Koohsar 3
1 PhD student of International Relations, Department of Political Science and International Relations, Shahrood Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shahrood, Iran.
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science and International Relations, Shahrood Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shahrood, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Islamic Studies, Shahrood Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shahrood, Iran.
چکیده English

Ukraine is Russia's strategic depth in Eastern Europe. The Ukraine crisis is the result of Russia's attitude towards Ukraine. The war between Russia and Ukraine is a war between powerful members of the international system and a power conflict between Russia, the United States, the European Union, NATO, and it has shown a new polarization in the international system. As a regional power and a strategic ally of Russia, Iran has been affected by the war between the West and Russia. This article, with the aim of clarifying the hidden and enigmatic dimension of the effect of this crisis, seeks to answer the question that; What are the consequences of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on the international system in the horizon of 2030? Also, what consequences does it have on the national interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran? The current research was carried out using descriptive and analytical method and using documentary and library sources. The research findings show that; The war between Russia and Ukraine has affected the political, economic, and military aspects of the international system. It has also affected Iran's political and economic interests as Russia's ally in the region and has caused a change in Iran's foreign policy and a shift towards the East, a halt in nuclear negotiations, and the formation of economic cooperation between Russia and Iran. It has also caused Iran to worry about NATO's presence in the Caucasus, affecting Israel-Russia relations and Iran's interests in Syria, as well as energy security.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Russia
Ukraine
war
international
Iran
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