نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی -پژوهشی کاربردی
نویسندگان
1 استاد جغرافیای سیاسی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
2 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیای سیاسی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
3 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیای سیاسی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The dramatic changes in various economic, political, social and environmental spheres, uncertainties and increased levels of risk are among the most important obstacles faced by decision makers at the organizational and national levels to make appropriate decisions in a variety of strategic and operational areas. On the other hand, the Makren beaches as a way of connecting Iran and even all the Commonwealth countries of Central Asia, the Caucasus and Eastern Europe to the geopolitical open seas and being on the Indian Ocean coast and the Oman Sea are Iran's gateway to the free waters and the Indian Ocean. For this purpose Using the GBN approach scenario analysis approach, the paper aims to discover, create and test a possible future for the Makren beaches. Accordingly, according to the experts of political, security, economic, social and biological advances, according to the matrix of uncertainty and the importance of four scenarios of turning to Makran with the characteristics of political stability in Pakistan and improving economic relations between Iran and the west, Kundalini cat with a characteristic Political instability in Pakistan and the improvement of economic relations between Iran and the West, the Pakistani arrogance with the character of political stability in Pakistan and the weakening of Iran-Western economic relations, and the scenario of extinction of political instability in Pakistan and the weakening of Iran-Western economic relations have been fleshed out and proportionate to any One of the scenarios, strategic strategies to develop and build the future of Makra It is presented.
کلیدواژهها [English]