عنوان مقاله [English]
Growth and development of the city, followed by an increase in urban population over the past few decades, such as misuse of land, slum spread and urban fungus growth, dispersed zinc, inadequate urban land allocation, loss of suburban farmland, weakness Provides in-town services. These issues gave serious consideration to solving urban problems within the city rather than seeking solutions in the suburbs. The purpose of this paper is to explain the smart growth indicators in Urmia city with a foresight approach. Accordingly, two methods of library and field research have been used to collect information. For analysis, 37 indices have been evaluated in the MIMC environment and the direct, indirect and performance effects of each have been identified and finally key proponents have been extracted in this software environment and entered into the Wizard Scenario for scenario analysis and extraction.The results show that there are two types of scenarios (strong and probable) for smart growth in Urmia. There have been 12 possible scenarios. There are 8 scenarios with optimal status and 76 to 63 overall value, two static scenarios with low overall value (19 and 52) and finally two critical scenarios that have values of 17 and 80. In this case, the critical scenario is 12 more likely to be realized than the other scenarios and is ranked second to scenarios 1-8. Finally, suggestions are made to prevent the realization of scenario 12 and the tendency towards scenarios 1-8.